Oceanum Logo



Oceanum Nigeria ECMWF Wave Forecast

February 2025

   
Model SWAN 41.31
Forecast horizon 7 days
Spatial resolution 0.05 degree (~5 km) to 0.01 degree (~1 km)
Temporal resolution 1 hourly
Region 2.5E - 10E, 2S - 6.5N
Forcings ECMWF winds and Oceanum spectra
Update frequency 12-hourly (00, 12 UTC)

Dataset description

The Nigeria wave forecast dataset provides operational wave predictions across the Gulf of Guinea and Nigerian coastal waters (Figure 1). Wave forecasts are produced using the SWAN (Simulating WAves Nearshore) third-generation spectral wave model, with a 7-day forecast horizon and 12-hourly updates (00, 12 UTC).

Wind forcing is provided by ECMWF IFS Open Data. Spectral boundary conditions are supplied by the Oceanum Global WW3 ECMWF wave forecast. Bathymetry is derived from GEBCO 2025.

The modelling setup employs the ST6 source term parameterisations. Spectra are discretised into 36 directional bins and 32 frequency bins, covering a frequency range from 0.037 to 0.71 Hz with 10% logarithmic increments. The model features a two-level nesting structure:

The dataset provides hourly forecast estimates for key ocean wave parameters (Table 2) including spectral quantities integrated over the full spectrum and for spectral partitions. Partitions are defined from an 8-second split (sea/swell) and from the Watershed method. Forecasts are archived for 30 days, and frequency-direction wave spectra are available at selected sites. Nowcast datasets are also available for the Nigeria 1 km domain, constructed by retaining the most recent data from each forecast cycle to provide a continuous near-real-time historical record.

Figure 1

Figure 1. Mean significant wave height (Hs) over the West Africa forecast domain.


Validation

The wave model physics and calibration follow the same approach validated against satellite altimeter observations for Oceanum’s West Africa hindcast domains. The ST6 source term parameterisation has been extensively validated for tropical Atlantic swell and locally generated wind wave conditions.


Data description

Table 1. Data description.

Field Value
Title Oceanum Nigeria wave forecast
Institution Oceanum
Access Oceanum Datamesh
Source SWAN 41.31A
Source terms ST6
Forecast horizon 7 days
Update frequency 12-hourly (00, 12 UTC)
Archive period 30 days
Temporal resolution 1 hourly
Spatial coverage (5km) [2.5E, 2S, 10E, 6.5N] at 0.05 degree
Spatial coverage (1km) [4.2E, 3.5N, 6.7E, 5N] at 0.01 degree
Frequency discretisation 32 frequencies between 0.037 - 0.71 Hz at 10% logarithmic increments
Direction resolution 10 deg
Bathymetry GEBCO 2025
Winds ECMWF IFS
Boundary Oceanum Global WW3 ECMWF wave forecast

Linked Datamesh datasources

Forecasts

West Africa 5 km:

Nigeria 1 km:

Nowcasts (continuous near-real-time archive)

Nigeria 1 km:


Integrated parameters gridded output

Integrated wave parameters are stored hourly over the domain at the native model resolution. Table 2 describes long names and units of the gridded output parameters.

Table 2. Gridded output parameters.

Variable Long Name Units
depth depth below sea surface m
dpm mean direction at the spectral peak of wind and swell waves degree
dpmsea mean direction at the spectral peak of wind waves below 8 seconds period degree
dpmswe mean direction at the spectral peak of swell waves above 8 seconds period degree
dspr directional spreading of wind and swell waves degree
hs significant height of wind and swell waves m
hsea significant height of wind waves under 8 seconds period m
hswe significant height of swell waves above 8 seconds period m
tm01 mean wave period based on first moment s
tm02 mean wave period based on second moment s
tps peak period of wind and swell waves s
tpssea peak period of wind waves below 8 seconds period s
tpsswe peak period of swell waves above 8 seconds period s
uwnd eastward wind component at 10m m/s
vwnd northward wind component at 10m m/s

www.oceanum.science