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Oceanum US East Coast ECMWF Wave Forecast

February 2025

   
Model SWAN 41.31
Forecast horizon 7 days
Spatial resolution 0.05 degree (~5 km)
Temporal resolution 1 hourly
Region 77.5W - 63W, 35.5N - 46N
Forcings ECMWF winds, tidal currents, and Oceanum spectra
Update frequency 12-hourly

Dataset description

The US East Coast wave forecast dataset provides operational wave predictions across the northeastern United States Atlantic seaboard, from Cape Hatteras to the Gulf of Maine (Figure 1). The domain encompasses the coastal waters of North Carolina, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and Maine. Wave forecasts are produced using the SWAN (Simulating WAves Nearshore) third-generation spectral wave model, with a 7-day forecast horizon updated every 12 hours (00, 12 UTC).

Wind forcing is provided by ECMWF IFS Open Data global atmospheric model. Spectral boundary conditions are supplied by the Oceanum Global WW3 wave model forced with ECMWF winds. Tidal currents are prescribed from Oceanum’s tidal constituents, enabling accurate representation of wave-current interactions in the Gulf Stream region and coastal embayments. Bathymetry is derived from the GEBCO 2023 global bathymetric grid.

The modelling setup employs the ST6 source term parameterisations. Spectra are discretised into 36 directional bins and 32 frequency bins, covering a frequency range from 0.037 to 0.71 Hz with 10% logarithmic increments. The model features a regular grid with a 5 km (0.05 degree) resolution, capturing the complex wave climate influenced by Atlantic hurricanes, nor’easters, and Gulf Stream interactions.

The dataset provides hourly forecast estimates for key ocean wave parameters (Table 2) including spectral quantities integrated over the full spectrum and for spectral partitions. Partitions are defined from an 8-second split (sea/swell) and from the Watershed method, which identifies one wind-forced partition and up to three swell partitions. Forecasts are archived for 30 days, and frequency-direction wave spectra are available at 1105 sites distributed across the domain. Nowcast datasets are also available, constructed by retaining the most recent data from each forecast cycle to provide a continuous near-real-time historical record.

Figure 1

Figure 1. Mean significant wave height from the US East Coast hindcast domain (used for forecast validation). The locations of 2D spectra hourly output are shown by the black dots.


Validation

The wave model physics and calibration have been validated against satellite altimeter observations for the corresponding hindcast domain. Validation results are available through the Oceanum Hindcast Satellite Validation App, which provides density scatter plots, quantile comparisons, and statistical metrics for the US East Coast region.


Data description

Table 1. Data description.

Field Value
Title Oceanum US East Coast wave forecast
Institution Oceanum
Access Oceanum Datamesh
Source SWAN 41.31A
Source terms ST6
Forecast horizon 7 days
Update frequency 12-hourly (ECMWF)
Archive period 30 days
Temporal resolution 1 hourly
Spatial coverage [77.5W, 35.5N, 63W, 46N] at 0.05 degree
Spectra output sites 1105
Frequency discretisation 32 frequencies between 0.037 - 0.71 Hz at 10% logarithmic increments
Direction resolution 10 deg
Bathymetry GEBCO 2023 Grid
Winds ECMWF IFS
Currents Oceanum tidal constituents
Boundary Oceanum Global WW3 wave forecast (ECMWF forced)

Linked Datamesh datasources

ECMWF-forced (12-hourly updates):

Nowcasts (continuous near-real-time archive):


Gridded output parameters

Integrated wave parameters are stored hourly over the domain at the native model resolution. Table 2 describes the gridded output parameters.

Table 2. Gridded output parameters.

Variable Long Name Units
depth depth below sea surface m
hs significant height of wind and swell waves m
hs_sea significant height of wind waves m
hs_sw significant height of swell waves m
tps smooth relative peak wave period of wind and swell waves s
tps_sea smooth relative peak wave period of wind waves s
tps_sw smooth relative peak wave period of swell waves s
dpm mean direction at the spectral peak of wind and swell waves degree
dpm_sea mean direction at the spectral peak of wind waves degree
dpm_sw mean direction at the spectral peak of swell waves degree
tm01 mean wave period based on first moment s
tm02 mean wave period based on second moment s
dspr directional spreading degree
fspr frequency spreading -
phs0 significant wave height of partition 0 (wind-forced) m
phs1 significant wave height of partition 1 (swell) m
phs2 significant wave height of partition 2 (swell) m
phs3 significant wave height of partition 3 (swell) m
ptp0 peak period of partition 0 (wind-forced) s
ptp1 peak period of partition 1 (swell) s
ptp2 peak period of partition 2 (swell) s
ptp3 peak period of partition 3 (swell) s
pdir0 peak direction of partition 0 (wind-forced) degree
pdir1 peak direction of partition 1 (swell) degree
pdir2 peak direction of partition 2 (swell) degree
pdir3 peak direction of partition 3 (swell) degree
xwnd eastward component of wind velocity m/s
ywnd northward component of wind velocity m/s
xcur eastward component of tidal current velocity m/s
ycur northward component of tidal current velocity m/s

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